Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 8.698110 10.095300 11.596785 13.324732 15.252599 17.331564 19.737061
2025-05-18 6.793399 8.577896 10.621177 13.114809 16.055827 19.393784 23.447244
2025-05-25 5.448458 7.406324 9.773942 12.808991 16.554432 20.982040 26.564947
2025-06-01 4.520319 6.568085 9.167762 12.645744 17.106275 22.561180 29.654698
2025-06-08 3.741510 5.794079 8.522049 12.318405 17.359863 23.714056 32.203121
2025-06-15 3.265886 5.354353 8.244741 12.406901 18.100588 25.460816 35.516276
2025-06-22 2.823206 4.896404 7.881120 12.321935 18.569030 26.836946 38.367084
2025-06-29 2.519405 4.601329 7.707951 12.467105 19.328860 28.598116 41.755586
2025-07-06 2.263259 4.344738 7.558629 12.618959 20.083300 30.357609 45.178244
2025-07-13 2.096430 4.209844 7.574248 13.001162 21.166945 32.590292 49.296930
2025-07-20 1.921609 4.038288 7.512351 13.251384 22.055952 34.567410 53.109058
2025-07-27 1.716585 3.787118 7.296993 13.241325 22.545337 35.980211 56.159757
2025-08-03 1.432182 3.355495 6.747058 12.665706 22.152752 36.113000 57.413536
2025-08-10 1.247905 3.086926 6.445988 12.464114 22.311804 37.039478 59.813507
2025-08-17 1.074091 2.813030 6.107410 12.170504 22.300910 37.699253 61.829101
2025-08-24 0.941005 2.603085 5.862571 12.013799 22.491096 38.654729 64.291467
2025-08-31 0.805723 2.366248 5.542833 11.699635 22.400715 39.166872 66.093819
2025-09-07 0.731059 2.255166 5.452935 11.784561 22.967330 40.702522 69.465444
2025-09-14 0.647609 2.109414 5.279614 11.703022 23.244023 41.785156 72.166994
2025-09-21 0.593745 2.028041 5.228642 11.842339 23.898548 43.478318 75.839594
2025-09-28 0.545522 1.953265 5.183856 11.988087 24.565755 45.205230 79.598999
2025-10-05 0.519170 1.933008 5.253063 12.354982 25.631446 47.599622 84.448422
2025-10-12 0.485020 1.885588 5.258312 12.595232 26.478233 49.655796 88.806432